Maybe…
It is fairly possible to catch a bottom. It’s impossible to predict one, but it is possible to catch it with greater than 50% probability.
I have caught the bottom for the past three years. In 2023 and 2024, I caught both years as a result of how I manage my options positions. The key is managing while accounting for the fact that you can’t predict the future.
Now we’re in 2025, and it would appear the current bottom was in 2025/04/07, as referenced in this note and the picture above. This year, however, I took a signal based on my proprietary model’s read on 2025/04/08, which—over a long sample size—quantifies potential turning points during extreme market declines. The read is relatively rare; therefore, I actuated a long S&P 500 call campaign and subsequently programmed an underlying accumulation sequence based on positive momentum.
So far, the market has continued forward since the reversal read. This is against the backdrop of active delta management and hedge measures in place to account for current uncertainty.
Related Note: https://aholdingcompanyhq.com/whiplash-week-on-wall-street/