Market Pulse Weekly: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, and IBIT BTC / Bitcoin
End of Week: Friday, October 3, 2025
S&P 500
Market Regime: Uptrend
Weekly Consideration: Buy, effective Monday, October 6, 2025 at the open
Brief:
The S&P 500 closed the week higher, reaching new all-time highs and demonstrating continued bullish momentum. This resilience comes despite a U.S. government shutdown, with investors seemingly prioritizing economic fundamentals and technological advancements over short-term political uncertainties.
Q4 Outlook:
As we enter the fourth quarter, market sentiment remains influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve policy, with investors anticipating potential rate cuts amidst ongoing inflation management. While global growth forecasts for 2025 show some fragility, a strong underlying current of investor optimism, particularly in high-innovation areas, is a key theme.
NASDAQ 100
Market Regime: Uptrend
Weekly Consideration: Buy, effective Monday, October 6, 2025 at the open
Brief:
The Nasdaq 100 recorded significant gains for the week, pushing to new record highs, driven by robust performance in the technology sector. This strength underscores the market’s continued enthusiasm for growth-oriented assets, especially those tied to the relentless expansion of artificial intelligence.
Q4 Outlook:
Entering Q4, the tech sector’s performance is expected to remain a significant driver, with high-tech investments acting as a tailwind. However, the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates and a softening U.S. labor market will continue to be closely watched for their implications on market volatility and investor confidence.
IBIT BTC / Bitcoin
Market Regime: Uptrend
Weekly Consideration: Buy, effective Monday, October 6, 2025 at the open
Brief:
Bitcoin and the IBIT ETF demonstrated substantial strength this week, achieving new highs and closing significantly higher, fueled by remarkable inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. This surge highlights a powerful resurgence in institutional investor confidence and a growing integration of Bitcoin into mainstream finance.
Q4 Outlook:
The beginning of Q4 sees Bitcoin continuing its strong momentum, with record ETF inflows underscoring accelerating institutional adoption and shifting market sentiment. Its role as a compelling asset amid macroeconomic uncertainties is becoming more pronounced, potentially enhancing liquidity and accessibility for a wider investor base.